The problem of being a declining empire doesn't have a solution.
--Niall Ferguson, Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History, Harvard University
One charge leveled by my critics is that I don't offer any real "solutions" to the problems I've written about in my books and at my blogs. In many respects, they are right. But that's because I believe the events I see (and have seen) unfolding reflect broad secular trends. Like winter, the harsh circumstances are not something you can just do away with; they are a challenge you must deal with (e.g., by turning up the heat and wearing warm clothes). Some believe otherwise, of course. In a Washington Times commentary, "A Decade of Decline," columnist Jeffrey T. Kuhner suggests that returning America's to its glory days is simply a matter of choice.
Barbarians inside the gates in 2000-2009
America is going the way of ancient Rome. The past decade will be remembered as the pivotal tipping point where the United States ceased to be a superpower. Like the Roman Empire in its later stages, America's imperial grandeur masked moral rot and economic decay.
The beginning of the 21st century promised continued U.S. global dominance. Our economic might seemed unrivaled; the dot-com boom had not yet gone bust. Washington was still basking in the warm glow of its victory in the Cold War. America bestrode the world like a military and economic colossus.
The Sept. 11, 2001, attacks changed everything. Like Rome and Imperial Britain, the United States embarked upon costly, prolonged wars in far-away countries. The result is that America remains mired in Iraq and Afghanistan. The two wars have cost more than 5,200 dead and $1 trillion with no victory or end in sight.
The fundamental mistake was made by President Bush. Contrary to popular myth, Mr. Bush was not a unilateralist conservative traditionalist; rather, he was a Great Society Republican who championed nation-building abroad and Big Government corporatism at home. Our goal should have been to smash the forces of global jihad through a strategy of total victory through total war - just as in World War II, when every domestic priority was subordinated to defeating the Axis Powers.
Instead, Mr. Bush tried to plant democracy in the sands of Mesopotamia and the stony soil of Afghanistan. He followed a foolish - and ultimately, destructive - policy of seeking to implement social engineering, nation-building projects. The result was imperial overstretch.
Moreover, he also stressed that America could have both guns and butter.
There was no need to choose. Tax cuts, federalizing education, a massive Medicare prescription drug plan, runaway government spending, soaring deficits, huge bank bailouts and expensive stimulus programs - Mr. Bush's brand of corporatist Keynesianism paved the way for socialism and reckless spending.
President Obama is making the same mistake. He is not the antithesis of Mr. Bush, but his culmination. Mr. Obama represents Bushism on steroids. He is seeking to erect a European-style social democracy characterized by a bloated public sector, a burdensome welfare state, economic sclerosis and foreign policy impotence.
Mr. Obama is slowly pushing America toward financial ruin. His $787 billion stimulus failed to regenerate the economy. His health care reform bill will cost taxpayers nearly $2.5 trillion. He has effectively nationalized the automakers, the financial sector and the banking system. His environmental regulations will stifle industry and manufacturing. Unemployment is high. The housing market continues to sag. Inflation is increasing. The dollar is plummeting. The nation's infrastructure is crumbling.
The budget deficit for 2009 was over $1.4 trillion. It is scheduled to be $1.5 trillion in 2010. Under his administration, the national debt is projected to explode by more than $10 trillion in 10 years. He is burying America under a mountain of debt. We are becoming the United States of Argentina.
Mr. Obama's decision to surge 30,000 additional troops into Afghanistan is a dangerous - and reckless - escalation of the war. It will only deepen our military quagmire, draining America of further blood and treasure. Repeating the tragic mistakes of Vietnam, Mr. Obama is sending U.S. troops to die without a clear strategy for victory.
Yet, as Americans are being bled white in the caves and mountains of Afghanistan, terrorists are penetrating our homeland defenses.
The United States is increasingly vulnerable to Islamist attacks: Hezbollah is crossing our porous southern border, the Fort Hood massacre and the attempted suicide bombing of Northwest Airlines flight 253. Similar to Rome in its final days, America is no longer feared or respected. Instead, we are being invaded - and slowly conquered - by barbarians.
Rome collapsed due to moral decline, pervasive corruption and a loss of will. The Roman Empire became plagued by crushing taxation, a ubiquitous bureaucracy, economic stagnation, political factionalism, military adventurism and a lack of civic virtue. Its culture had become so decadent - with its glorification of homosexuality, infanticide, sexual permissiveness and constant entertainment (such as circuses and games in the Coliseum) - that Rome was not only scorned but reviled.
America is repeating the same tragic mistakes. Our sexualized, celebrity-obsessed, libertine culture is despised around the world. Power trumps patriotism. Washington no longer embodies democratic virtue.
If America does not veer course quickly, we, too, like the Romans, will squander our glorious heritage.
Jeffrey T. Kuhner is a columnist at The Washington Times and president of the Edmund Burke Institute, a Washington think tank.



Quoting the Moonie paper of record is not a great way to enforce the concept of credibility.
Niall Ferguson, well, meh! As much an expert as Newt Gingrich was on history.
Posted by: Dex | January 02, 2010 at 08:36 AM
When you get into a situation where in almost all policy areas there are no "right" decisions, only the least bad or the most predictable then you are in deep trouble. Additionally the more complex the choices are the more likely you are to go into deeper trouble.
Posted by: Demetrius | January 02, 2010 at 11:26 AM
No choice.
The world is run on a Capitalist agenda, with the US running
the circus. It is not only the US who is in decline, it is the
whole Capitalist BOON-DOGLE that is crumbling.
1: the medium of exchange is being destroyed by a process of
accumulation and speculation (human greed)
2: the world resources are no longer available in unlimited
quantity ( you cannot build without destroying) be careful of what you are destroying)
3: like mad dogs fighting over a carcass,every nation is getting
into the act.
Posted by: roger | January 02, 2010 at 12:26 PM
Nial Ferguson suggests that the Empire's error was to become mired in foreign wars, analogous, he says, to Britain and Rome, as a response to 9/11, than suggests that the error was not the wars themselves but failing to fight even bigger wars with more social resources. More than a bit contradictory. The true Conservative not to mention Social Democratic response to 9/11 would have been to treat this as a criminal action and reinforce domestic security and those of our allies. There will always be terrorists and trying to root them out of every single foreign country is a long war to say the least. As for the moral rot, I unfortunately find myself inclined to agree and one hopes that Mr. Ferguson, as full of inconsistencies as his reasoning is, is not mired therein.
SS
Posted by: SS | January 02, 2010 at 08:05 PM
Rome didn't fall because of too many celebrities and glorification of homosexuality - though these are a problem in American media. Most Americans are not obsessed with Angelina and vastly prefer monogomous traditional relationships. Rome fell because of a balance of payments deficit. They started buying more than they produced and their gold went out of the country instead of into production. The life of pleasure was a symptom of their trade deficit. That's America's problme in spades.
Posted by: Tom | January 02, 2010 at 09:07 PM
There are other types of moral turpitude besides homosexuality, if it is even immoral, or libertine values. The more important and truly moral values are those respecting how we treat our fellow man and ourselves: with honesty, forthrightness, kindness and discipline; most of these duly noted and emphasized by Christ. If one looks around at our Corporate and political leadership one finds a complete lack of honesty and precious little of the other three. One can not build a strong society on relations whose foundations are shifting several times daily.
SS
Posted by: SS | January 02, 2010 at 09:38 PM
First half of the article was okay, then the second half just became a laundry list of logical fallacies sewn together with culture-war blather.
ie. The United States is increasingly vulnerable to Islamist attacks. So WTF were the Bush years of wars, torture, concentration camps in Guantanamo, domestic spying, Patriot Act, extraordinary rendition, and loss of civil liberties for if the country is more vulnerable?
2. Hezbollah is crossing our porous southern border. Only unless Mexicans are converting to Shia Islam and trading their tacos for fallafahs (which are delicious BTW)
3. Rome collapsed due to moral decline, pervasive corruption and a loss of "will". Good thing we still have George "Will" over at the WaPo. As for moral decline, if only we were more like the Taliban!
4. glorification of homosexuality. Damn' it, if only Brokeback Mountain didn't win the Oscars, we'd all be living much safer lives from the Islamists who hate our queer-as-folk loving ways.
Posted by: Lifer | January 04, 2010 at 05:05 AM